اقتباس: المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة hakamshara
You guys are underestimating what happening. Yes the precipitation will be intermittent but its convective power isnt classical----- this means what we usually see, cells of precipitation passing through the west bank and slowly weakening as they reach Jordan to eventually weaken into light showers...... that doesnt apply here. As most pof you know we are currently at the height of the depth of the upper layers of the atmosphere, and as the radar is showing, cells are passing, unweakened, into the kingdom.... no problem. So as temperatures drop we should see meaningful snowfall over 900 meters, yes scattered, but heavy at times, until midnight
This includes Ajloun, Amman, Madaba
And the south will get a powerful share of heavy snow tonight
This is all based on the powerful convective depth that everyone seems to have forgotten because the "850 hPa" isnt good enough....
What have we learned this winter?
the upper levels matter MORE
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Hey my friend
Take a look again on the expected profile of the upper layers you would see a clear
inversion at mid level of the troposphere which limits the strength of the convection and any
orographic lifting won't gain a huge amount of momentum
Just remember my words :heart
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